A Normal Supply Chain? It’s ‘Unlikely’ in 2022. (Published 2022) (2024)

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A Normal Supply Chain? It’s ‘Unlikely’ in 2022. (Published 2022) (1)

The chaos at ports, warehouses and retailers will probably persist through the year, and perhaps even longer.

The Port of Los Angeles, one of the busiest ports in the United States, where containers have piled up uncollected.Credit...Erin Schaff/The New York Times

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With the havoc at ports showing no signs of abating and prices for a vast array of goods still rising, the world is absorbing a troubling realization: Time alone will not solve the Great Supply Chain Disruption.

It will require investment, technology and a refashioning of the incentives at play across global business. It will take more ships, additional warehouses and an influx of truck drivers, none of which can be conjured quickly or cheaply. Many months, and perhaps years, are likely to transpire before the chaos subsides.

“It’s unlikely to happen in 2022,” said Phil Levy, chief economist at Flexport, a freight forwarding company based in San Francisco. “My crystal ball gets murky further out.”

For those who keep tabs on the global supply chain, the very concept of a return to normalcy has given way to a begrudging acceptance that a new normal may be unfolding.

Cheap and reliable shipping may no longer be taken as a given, forcing manufacturers to move production closer to customers. After decades of reliance on lean warehouses and online systems that monitor inventory and summon goods as needed — a boon to shareholders — manufacturers may revert to a more prudent focus on extra capacity.

The deepening understanding that the supply chain crisis has staying power poses a daunting challenge to policymakers.

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A Normal Supply Chain? It’s ‘Unlikely’ in 2022. (Published 2022) (2024)

FAQs

A Normal Supply Chain? It’s ‘Unlikely’ in 2022. (Published 2022)? ›

Many months, and perhaps years, are likely to transpire before the chaos subsides. “It's unlikely to happen in 2022,” said Phil Levy, chief economist at Flexport, a freight forwarding company based in San Francisco. “My crystal ball gets murky further out.”

Is a normal supply chain unlikely in 2022? ›

In February 2022, Peter S. Goodman, writing in The New York Times, argued that returning to the pre-COVID-19-pandemic global supply chain was seen as "unlikely" in 2022.

What is the status of supply chain in 2022? ›

The pandemic continues to offer significant challenges for supply chains globally. Even in 2022, national lockdowns slow or even temporarily stop the flow of raw materials and finished goods, disrupting manufacturing as a result. However, the pandemic has not necessarily created any new challenges for supply chains.

Are supply chains going back to be normal? ›

“Over the course of the past year, but in particular in 2023, global supply chains have eased remarkably quickly — removing one of the biggest headaches in terms of activity and inflation,” the London-based bank said, while noting that the trend is largely the result of subdued global demand for goods.

What is the future of supply chain 2022? ›

The supply chain of the future will use artificial intelligence and other digital technology to automate execution. Not only does this connect decision making across the value chain, it also gives employees more flexibility with work design.

Why is supply chain so bad right now? ›

Long lead times and materials shortages

Supply chains have been overextended for quite some time. Bottlenecks at ports around the world were a problem before the COVID-19 pandemic, and lockdowns compounded the problem so severely that they're still not fully resolved.

What is the supply chain outlook for 2024? ›

Key actions to take in 2024 include:

Leverage low-code apps to go from managing supply chains to building agile, resilient and predictable supply chains. Use low-code platforms to modernize legacy systems, automate processes and connect disconnected systems.

Are supply chain issues still happening 2024? ›

A new wave of challenges are materializing for global supply chains, from shipping lane issues to increasing market regulations.

Is the supply chain crisis over? ›

After several years of pandemic-related disruption and uncertainties, the global supply chain landscape appears to be on a tentative road to recovery in 2023. However, even though news has improved, this doesn't mean that all supply chain issues today have been laid to rest.

Is supply chain still a problem? ›

Since product shortages arose in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic starting in 2020, the supply chain of goods has drawn more investor attention. In the global economy of 2024, supply chain issues are generally isolated, but events continue to call attention to potential vulnerabilities.

How long will supply chain problems last? ›

More than half of logistics managers at major companies and trade groups say they do not expect the supply chain to return to normal until 2024 or after, according to a new CNBC survey.

Are supply chains getting better? ›

Supply chain resiliency is improving with increased transparency, better communication and collaboration, increased digitization, a focus on sustainability, and a move toward shorter supply lines as participants reexamine their sourcing strategies.

What is causing supply chain issues 2022? ›

Geopolitical conflicts, strike threats and weather-related disasters tested supply chains in 2022, adding new headaches for businesses still grappling with the fallout from the pandemic.

What is the next big thing in supply chain? ›

The next big thing in supply chain is AI and machine learning. More brands are using AI for predictive analytics, demand forecasting, and automated decision making. Get news, trends, and strategies for unlocking new growth.

How is supply chain changing? ›

The consumers are becoming more demanding, and this is leading the supply chains to change and evolve at a faster rate. Modern operations are focused on technology and innovations, and as a result, supply chains are becoming more complex.

Is the supply chain still messed up? ›

Since product shortages arose in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic starting in 2020, the supply chain of goods has drawn more investor attention. In the global economy of 2024, supply chain issues are generally isolated, but events continue to call attention to potential vulnerabilities.

Is the supply chain getting better? ›

Supply chains in 2023 continued to improve since the Covid-induced downturn of 2020–2021, experiencing smoother operation, with less congestion and a more balanced supply/demand environment.

Why are supply chain issues getting worse? ›

Risk factors for further supply chain disruption include a possible rebound in U.S. port congestion; spillover from the Russia-Ukraine conflict at Northern European ports; limitations on airfreight transportation, particularly along the Asia-Europe lane; COVID-19 lockdowns in China; and disruptions to rail freight, ...

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