Simple Risk Matrix (2024)

​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​The Simple Risk Matrix relies on probabilitSimple Risk Matrix (1)y and severity scores of high, medium or low to assign relative risk rankings. The colour-coding in the matrix provides you with a visual sense of the relative priority attached toa hazard.

​See the Simple Risk Matrix

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The SimpleRisk MatrixAssessment Descriptorsprovide comparative criteria or descriptors to help determine the probability and severity associated with each hazard. Use the outputs oftheAssessment Descriptorsas the inputs for the Simple Risk Matrix.

​See the Simple Risk Matrix Ranking Guide

Rating ​Probability* ​Severity**
​High

​Frequent or repeated event

Occurs at least once a year in the organization

Occurs several times during a project

Occurs often in similar circ*mstances (e.g., in another company that does work similar to yours)

Greater than 50% chance of occurring

​Serious or disabling personal injury, permanent disability or fatality

Costs to repair/replace property damage greater than $100,000

Loss of business function for extended period, substantial consequences for business

​Medium Event is known to occur, but not frequently

Occurs less than once a year in organization

Has occurred in similar circ*mstances (e.g., in another company that does work similar to yours )

10% to 50% chance of occurring

​Injury requiring medical aid with or without lost time from work

Costs to repair/replace property damage $25,000 – $100,000

Loss of business function for short period, modest consequences for business

​Low Unlikely event, has not occurred in your company but could happen

May happen once in 10 years

Has never been observed, but possible

Less than 10% chance of occurring

No injury or minor injury requiring first aid

Costs to repair/replace property damage less than $25,000

Minor business interruption

*Probability of Occurrence - the likelihood that a motor vehicle incident (crash) or other incident will occur.

**Severity of Consequences - the magnitude of loss, negative consequences or impacts

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Use the Simple Risk Matrix Assessment Tool toassign high, mediumor low priorities to driving hazards at your organization.

​Download the Simple Risk Matrix Assessment Tool

Download a customizable Simple Risk Matrix Assessment Tool (Excel) by clicking here.Continue readingbelowfor moreinformation on using this tool to assess driving risks at your workplace.

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Using the Simple Risk Matrix

Yourrisk assessment criteria should be adapted to the circ*mstances and needs of your organization. You can then begin to assign probability and severity scores to the hazards you want to assess. Use the examples below to help you.

​1. Adapt Risk Assessment Criteria to Your Organization

The Simple Risk Matrix Assessment Descriptorsprovide several descriptors with reasonable thresholds designed to yield appropriate probability and severity ratings for driving-related hazards in many workplace circ*mstances. However, you should review each descriptor, consider your company’s business processes, values and risk tolerances, and revise the descriptors to fit your needs.

For example, for some larger employers, property damage costs of $25,000 have small impacts to their bottom line, and such a loss is properly scored as having low severity. For other organizations, $25,000 property damage costs can have a significant impact on their viability, and would therefore have medium or high severity. For some businesses, such as self-employed contractors, even a short-term business interruption can have disastrous consequences, so would be scored as having high severity.

You may want to add environmental impacts (e.g., fuel spill, toxic release) or other consequences that could be associated with a crash, and are important for your organization.

​2. Assign Scores for Probability and Severity

Once you have made those adjustments to the descriptors, the next step is to assign a probability score and a severity score to each of the hazards you want to assess (e.g., from the Road Hazard Inventory).

When scoring each hazard, keep the following questions in mind.

Probability - Collectively, how often are our workers exposed to this hazard? In our organization, or in other organizations like ours, how often does this occur? How likely is this to occur?

Severity - If this hazard causes a crash or other incident, what are the most likely outcomes? How much will it cost? How severe are the injuries and other losses likely to be? How will that impact our business?

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​Applying the Simple Risk Matrix: Examples

​Example One - A&R Taxi Ltd.

Below is a snapshot of how A&R Taxi Ltd. used a simple risk matrix to prioritize their action plans.

​Hazard ​Probability ​Severity ​Priority
​Taxi won’t start due to mechanical (battery) failure​High - happens at least once each year across fleet​Low - minor business delay; cost of repair = $100​MEDIUM
​Taxi collides with another vehicle at intersection​High - happens at least once per year across fleet​Medium - lost time due to injuries; cost to repair damaged property = $45,000​HIGH
​Taxi backs into pedestrian while parking​Medium - happened once before to this company; a few occurrences at other taxi companies​High - pedestrian receives serious injuries; liability costs greater than $100,000​HIGH
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​Example Two - ABC Health Services

In the last two years, ABC Health Services has experienced two near crashes because their driver is distracted by a passenger or client. Based on what “just about” happened, ABC thinks such a crash would probably result in injuries to the driver and client (and perhaps an occupant of another vehicle) and it would cost about $50,000 to repair damaged vehicles. The ABC safety and health committee assign a medium severity and high probability to such outcomes, and ranks the priority of managing risks associated with passengers distracting their drivers as HIGH.

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​Example Three - XYZ Courier Services

XYZ Courier Services is working hard to win contracts. Recently, some drivers have adopted the practice of eating lunch “on the road,” thinking it will improve productivity. Others are concerned this added task reduces their ability to pay attention to traffic and drive. Yesterday, a driver damaged his van when he backed into a loading dock while trying to eat a sandwich. Today, XYZ has hired a contractor to fix their client’s loading dock, and is trying to repair its damaged business reputation and keep that client. XYZ management assigned a high severity and high probability to such outcomes. They have made eliminating “driving lunches” a HIGH priority.

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​Example Four - QST Construction

QST Construction is expanding its resource road construction business to highway projects. They are proactive about safety issues, but don’t have experience to know how severe or probable motor vehicle incidents will be in their new highway work. They can’t afford a new fleet of pickups, so will have to rely on their “old” fleet. QST is hiring new drivers for the projects. Management is unsure whether they should first pay attention to vehicle inspection and maintenance procedures, or improve their driver orientation process.

QST estimates potential consequences of a crash due to either a mechanical failure or deficient driver orientation are about the same ― lost time injuries and repair costs less than $100,000. Over the last 15 years, QST has had two vehicle mishaps due to mechanical failure; they estimate the likelihood of vehicle failure incidents as medium. However, because QST workers and supervisors have very little highway construction experience, QST feels the likelihood of a driver-related mishap is greater than the likelihood of a vehicle-related mishap. They have started building a better driver orientation process.

​Example Five - Top Notch Consultants

For a more extensiveexample of how to apply the Simple Risk Matrix, download the Applying the Simple Risk Matrix Example.

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Advantages and Limitations of the Simple Risk Matrix

This section briefly describes some of the advantages and disadvantages of using a Simple Risk Matrix. Reviewing these will help you appreciate some of its strengths and limitations, and see where its use best fits your organization.

​Advantages

  • Intuitive - uses the assessor's perception of organizational driving risks
  • Can get reasonable risk rankings without extensive data or numbers
  • Adaptive - can adjust risk criteria to match company circ*mstances
  • Two rather than three variables to consider

One advantage of the simple matrix is that it is not necessary to have precise information or data about each hazard. Instead, it enables you to do a comparative analysis that, in some applications, can be sufficient. For example, you might not know how often a given hazard has contributed to crashes in the last five years. You might not have accurate reports on the severity of their consequences. As long as you have an informed sense that hazard A is more likely than hazard B to contribute to a crash, you can assign a greater probability to hazard A. If you know that motor vehicle incidents that involve hazard A almost always have more severe consequences than motor vehicle incidents involving hazard B, you can assign a comparatively greater severity ranking to hazard A. Applying those non-precise, qualitative inputs to the risk matrix enables you to assign priorities and start on your action plan.

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​Limitations

Results are relative and therefore less precise then quantitative methods.

When there are several risks to evaluate, all output rankings will fall into three rankings ― low, medium and high. Certainly, hazards that get a “high” score are the first priority. However, if there are a dozen or more hazards that receive a “high” ranking, it is not obvious which three are your top priorities.

To get reliable rankings from a simple matrix, assessors need a good sense of the frequency with which drivers are exposed to each hazard and the associated probable severity. That experience and knowledge can be difficult to come by.

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ResourcesYou Can Use

Download the Simple Risk Matrix Assessment Tool (Excel)by clicking here.

For an extensive example of how to apply the Simple Risk Matrix, download the Applying the Simple Risk Matrix Example.

For more assistance using the Simple Risk Matrix Assessment Tool, view a video tutorial.

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​​​​​​​​​Adapted from Simple Risk Matrix (2) Simple Risk Matrix (3)​​​​​​​​​​

Simple Risk Matrix (2024)
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